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Inglewood Utd vs Curtin U. Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 07:00

Inglewood Utd

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Curtin U.

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.8%0-113.9%0-24.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.7%1-112.5%1-24.2%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.5%2-15.7%2-21.9%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.5%3-11.7%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.1% 63.7% 1.57 -35.5%

Draw 34.2% 25.0% 4.00 +36.8%

Away win 24.8% 23.8% 4.20 +2.5%

Over 2.5 34.0% 57.8% 1.73 -41.2%

Over 3.5 19.0% 35.6% 2.81 -28.0%

BTTS 47.4% 57.8% 1.73 -18.0%

Home O1.5 33.7% 62.1% 1.61 -45.7%

Away O1.5 27.5% 29.2% 3.42 -3.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.4%

H 41% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.8%

#2 1–0✓ 18.7%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 0–1 13.9%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inglewood Utd0.9

Curtin U.0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.0%

Form & verdict PPG

INGLEWOOD UTD · PPG 1.14

CURTIN U. · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Inglewood Utd (H) 41.1%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -35.5%

Draw 34.2%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +36.8%

Curtin U. (A) 24.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +2.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inglewood Utd face Curtin U. in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inglewood Utd a 41% chance, the draw 34% and Curtin U. 25%, so Inglewood Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Inglewood Utd and 0.7 for Curtin U. (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inglewood Utd are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.40 for Curtin U.. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +36.8%. This match finished 1-0.

Inglewood Utd vs Curtin U. Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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