SD Raiders vs UNSW Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 18 Ernie Smith Reserve Saturday, June 6, 2026 07:00

SD Raiders PPG 1.00

VS PENDING

UNSW PPG 0.38

Away + Over 2.5· +1.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

SD Raiders face UNSW in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SD Raiders a 38% chance, the draw 26% and UNSW 37%, so SD Raiders are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for SD Raiders and 1.5 for UNSW (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SD Raiders are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.38 for UNSW. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +1.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.0%

Odds: 2.35 EV: -10.7%

Draw 25.5%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -4.2%

Away 36.5%

Odds: 2.50 EV: -8.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.7% Odds: 1.65 +0.1%

Over 3.5 36.6% Odds: 2.65 -3.0%

BTTS 61.4% Odds: 1.53 -6.1%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 2-1

4th 0-0

5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

SD Raiders

1.49

UNSW

1.54

Model SuggestionBTTS -6.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-6.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 17.4%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.38)