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WS Wanderers B vs Sydney Utd Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 05:00

WS Wanderers B

PPG 0.86 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Sydney Utd

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.7 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 58.9% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-19.2%0-26.3%0-32.9%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.9%1-112.2%1-28.4%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.9%2-18.1%2-25.6%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.6%3-13.6%3-22.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 29.4% 3.40 +50.6%

Draw 24.5% 27.4% 3.65 -6.3%

Away win 31.2% 52.6% 1.90 -40.7%

Over 2.5 58.9% 59.9% 1.67 -1.6%

Over 3.5 36.6% 37.0% 2.70 -1.2%

BTTS 55.4% 63.7% 1.57 -13.0%

Home O1.5 46.9% 39.2% 2.55 +19.6%

Away O1.5 32.0% 56.5% 1.77 -43.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 111 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -14.0%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.4%

H 44% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 0–0 6.6%

#3 1–2 8.4%

#4 2–1 8.1%

#5 0–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

WS Wanderers B1.3

Sydney Utd1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.9% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WS WANDERERS B · PPG 0.86

SYDNEY UTD · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...

48%

CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (2.14) strong but model favors Home (P=44.3%)

Win probability 1X2

WS Wanderers B (H) 44.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +50.6%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -6.3%

Sydney Utd (A) 31.2%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -40.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

WS Wanderers B face Sydney Utd in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives WS Wanderers B a 44% chance, the draw 25% and Sydney Utd 31%, so WS Wanderers B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for WS Wanderers B and 1.4 for Sydney Utd (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, WS Wanderers B are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 2.14 for Sydney Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +50.6%. This match finished 0-2.

WS Wanderers B vs Sydney Utd Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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