Sparta Prague vs Jablonec Prediction & Tips

Czech-Republic - Czech Liga Regular Season - 30 epet ARENA· Prague Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:00

Sparta Prague PPG 2.36

3-1 MISS

Jablonec PPG 1.79

Away· -2.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 60.0%

Odds: 1.54 EV: -7.6%

Draw 21.5%

Odds: 3.95 EV: -15.1%

Away 18.5%

Odds: 5.25 EV: -2.9%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 56.6% Odds: 1.70 -3.8%

Over 3.5 34.2% Odds: 2.75 -5.9%

BTTS 54.0% Odds: 1.70 -8.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Sparta Prague

1.96

Jablonec

0.99

Model SuggestionHome -7.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -7.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.36) > Away GOOD (1.79)