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Zlin vs Teplice Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 13:00

Zlin

PPG 0.89 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

UPCOMING

Teplice

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLLW

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+7.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-18.3%0-26.6%0-33.5%0-4+2.0%1 1-07.1%1-111.3%1-29.0%1-34.8%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.8%2-17.7%2-26.1%2-33.2%2-4+1.8%3 3-02.2%3-13.5%3-22.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.6%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.0% 38.2% 2.62 -8.3%

Draw 23.6% 33.3% 3.00 -17.5%

Away win 41.4% 38.2% 2.62 +8.5%

Over 2.5 59.6% 48.1% 2.08 +24.0%

Over 3.5 36.4% 26.7% 3.75 +36.5%

BTTS 61.5% 57.1% 1.75 +7.6%

Home O1.5 39.5% 38.2% 2.62 +3.5%

Away O1.5 47.9% 40.0% 2.50 +19.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 17.4%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.5%

A 41% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 0–1 8.3%

#5 0–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zlin1.4

Teplice1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ZLIN · PPG 0.89

TEPLICE · PPG 1.35

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

59%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zlin (H) 35.0%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -8.3%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -17.5%

Teplice (A) 41.4%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +8.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zlin face Teplice in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zlin a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Teplice 41%, so Teplice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Zlin and 1.6 for Teplice (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zlin are averaging 0.89 points per game versus 1.35 for Teplice. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +36.5%.

Zlin vs Teplice Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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