Today / Mamelodi S. vs Kaizer Chiefs

Mamelodi S. vs Kaizer Chiefs Prediction

Friday, June 5, 2026

Mamelodi S.

PPG 2.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kaizer Chiefs

PPG 1.93 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.9%0-111.5%0-23.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.6%1-112.6%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.2%2-16.9%2-22.3%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.7%3-12.5%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% — — —

Draw 30.9% — — —

Away win 24.1% — — —

Over 2.5 43.7% — — —

Over 3.5 24.9% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 41.3% — — —

Away O1.5 27.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.0%

H 45% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.9%

#2 1–0 18.6%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 0–1 11.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mamelodi S.1.1

Kaizer Chiefs0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.7% · O3.5 PROB 24.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MAMELODI S. · PPG 2.60

KAIZER CHIEFS · PPG 1.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.60) > Away GOOD (1.93)

Win probability 1X2

Mamelodi S. (H) 45.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kaizer Chiefs (A) 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mamelodi S. face Kaizer Chiefs on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mamelodi S. a 45% chance, the draw 31% and Kaizer Chiefs 24%, so Mamelodi S. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Mamelodi S. and 0.7 for Kaizer Chiefs (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mamelodi S. are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.93 for Kaizer Chiefs.

Mamelodi S. vs Kaizer Chiefs Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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