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Karvina U19 vs Fastav Zlin U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 29 ·Friday, June 5, 2026, 09:00

Karvina U19

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Fastav Zlin U19

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-13.6%0-22.7%0-31.3%0-4+0.7%1 1-05.5%1-18.1%1-26.0%1-32.9%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.1%2-19.0%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.5%3-16.7%3-24.9%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-16.3%4+-24.6%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.1% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 26.7% — — —

Over 2.5 65.4% — — —

Over 3.5 44.5% — — —

BTTS 63.6% — — —

Home O1.5 62.6% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.6%

H 52% / xG 2.2-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 2–1✓ 9.0%

#3 3–1 6.7%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karvina U192.2

Fastav Zlin U191.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KARVINA U19 · PPG 2.00

FASTAV ZLIN U19 · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=52.1%

Win probability 1X2

Karvina U19 (H) 52.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fastav Zlin U19 (A) 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Karvina U19 face Fastav Zlin U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karvina U19 a 52% chance, the draw 21% and Fastav Zlin U19 27%, so Karvina U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Karvina U19 and 1.5 for Fastav Zlin U19 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karvina U19 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.86 for Fastav Zlin U19. This match finished 2-1.

Karvina U19 vs Fastav Zlin U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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