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Australia - Victoria NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 16 Green Gully Reserve· Melbourne Friday, June 5, 2026 09:30
Green Gully logo Green Gully PPG 0.14
VS PENDING
Avondale logo Avondale PPG 1.29
HomeO15· +20.2% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 12.2%
Odds: 6.50 EV: -12.4%
Draw 19.9%
Odds: 4.80 EV: -2.7%
Away 67.9%
Odds: 1.35 EV: -8.3%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.48 -5.1%
Over 3.5 39.2% Odds: 2.20 -13.8%
BTTS 48.0% Odds: 1.67 -19.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 0-3
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-4

Expected Goals (xG)

Green Gully
0.60
Avondale
2.65

Model Suggestion

Away -8.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -8.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: HomeO15 (+20.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.29) vs Home POOR (0.14)

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