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Australia - Victoria NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 16 Friday, June 5, 2026 09:45
Dandenong City logo Dandenong City PPG 1.50
VS PENDING
Heidelberg Utd logo Heidelberg Utd PPG 2.00
Home· +29.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.1%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +29.0%
Draw 27.8%
Odds: 3.95 EV: +5.9%
Away 43.1%
Odds: 1.55 EV: -33.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 1.70 -17.2%
Over 3.5 28.6% Odds: 2.75 -12.8%
BTTS 54.0% Odds: 1.73 -6.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-0
4th 1-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Dandenong City
1.03
Heidelberg Utd
1.46

Model Suggestion

BTTS -6.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+29.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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