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Australia - Victoria NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 16 Jack Edwards Reserve· Melbourne Friday, June 5, 2026 10:15
Oakleigh C. logo Oakleigh C. PPG 2.14
VS PENDING
St. Albans logo St. Albans PPG 1.25
Away· +4.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 64.6%
Odds: 1.33 EV: -14.1%
Draw 20.0%
Odds: 4.80 EV: -2.4%
Away 15.4%
Odds: 7.00 EV: +4.7%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.42 -9.0%
Over 3.5 40.7% Odds: 2.05 -16.6%
BTTS 53.5% Odds: 1.60 -14.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 3-1
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Oakleigh C.
2.70
St. Albans
0.85

Model Suggestion

Home -14.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -14.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+4.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 51%
BTTS/No 37%
Score Hit 44%
ROI 5.0%
Bet Hit 58% (19 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=64.6%

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