Today / VFK vs Skara

VFK vs Skara Prediction

Friday, June 5, 2026

VFK

PPG 1.80 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Skara

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-16.6%0-25.6%0-33.2%0-4+2.0%1 1-06.0%1-110.2%1-28.7%1-34.9%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.6%2-17.9%2-26.7%2-33.8%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.4%3-14.1%3-23.5%3-32.0%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.2%4+-21.9%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.2% — — —

Draw 23.5% — — —

Away win 41.4% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.2% — — —

BTTS 61.4% — — —

Home O1.5 50.1% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 43%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.4%

A 41% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 0–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VFK1.5

Skara1.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VFK · PPG 1.80

SKARA · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.80), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

VFK (H) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Skara (A) 41.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VFK face Skara on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VFK a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Skara 41%, so Skara are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for VFK and 1.7 for Skara (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VFK are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 2.00 for Skara. This match finished 1-3.

VFK vs Skara Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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