Today / KaPa vs KTP

KaPa vs KTP Prediction

Friday, June 5, 2026

KaPa

PPG 1.25 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

KTP

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.5%0-116.7%0-28.0%0-32.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.7%1-113.2%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.4%2-15.2%2-22.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.4%3-11.4%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.8% — — —

Draw 34.8% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 33.0% — — —

Over 3.5 18.5% — — —

BTTS 47.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.7% — — —

Away O1.5 27.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.4%

D 35% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.5%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.7%

#4 1–0 13.7%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KaPa0.8

KTP1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KAPA · PPG 1.25

KTP · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

KaPa (H) 29.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KTP (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KaPa face KTP on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KaPa a 30% chance, the draw 35% and KTP 35%, so KTP are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for KaPa and 1.0 for KTP (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KaPa are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.00 for KTP. This match finished 1-2.

KaPa vs KTP Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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