Today / KuPS Ak. vs KPV Kokkola

KuPS Ak. vs KPV Kokkola Prediction

Friday, June 5, 2026

KuPS Ak.

PPG 0.60 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

KPV Kokkola

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.60), Away POOR (0.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-12.3%0-21.1%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.6%1-16.4%1-23.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.1%2-18.8%2-24.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.4%3-18.2%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-011.4%4+-111.1%4+-25.4%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.5% — — —

Draw 18.6% — — —

Away win 18.9% — — —

Over 2.5 65.4% — — —

Over 3.5 43.9% — — —

BTTS 61.4% — — —

Home O1.5 69.8% — — —

Away O1.5 27.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob61.4%

H 62% / xG 2.8-1.0 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.1%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 3–0 8.4%

#4 3–1 8.2%

#5 1–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KuPS Ak.2.8

KPV Kokkola1.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KUPS AK. · PPG 0.60

KPV KOKKOLA · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.60), Away POOR (0.40)

Win probability 1X2

KuPS Ak. (H) 62.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KPV Kokkola (A) 18.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KuPS Ak. face KPV Kokkola on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KuPS Ak. a 63% chance, the draw 19% and KPV Kokkola 19%, so KuPS Ak. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for KuPS Ak. and 1.0 for KPV Kokkola (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KuPS Ak. are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.40 for KPV Kokkola. This match finished 4-1.

KuPS Ak. vs KPV Kokkola Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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