Today / L. Longyuan vs Dalian Kewei
L. Longyuan vs Dalian Kewei Prediction
Friday, June 5, 2026
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
D 42% / xG 0.4-0.5 / U2.5 23% / NoBTTS 29%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 0.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 22.9% · O3.5 PROB 10.9%
Form & verdict
L. LONGYUAN · PPG 1.25
DALIAN KEWEI · PPG 0.75
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.75)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
L. Longyuan face Dalian Kewei on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives L. Longyuan a 26% chance, the draw 42% and Dalian Kewei 32%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.4 for L. Longyuan and 0.5 for Dalian Kewei (0.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, L. Longyuan are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.75 for Dalian Kewei. This match finished 0-0.