Australia - Western Australia State League 1Regular Season - 11Litis Stadium· LeedervilleFriday, June 5, 202611:00
Floreat AthenaPPG 3.00
VSPENDING
Gwelup CroatiaPPG 2.00
Home + BTTS· +2.6%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home62.0%
Odds: 1.44EV: -10.7%
Draw18.8%
Odds: 4.00EV: -14.9%
Away19.2%
Odds: 5.00EV: -2.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5Not tracked as an official bet.
Goals Markets
Over 2.565.4%Odds: 1.36-11.1%
Over 3.544.5%Odds: 1.76-21.7%
BTTS61.4%Odds: 1.40-14.0%
Correct Score Picks
1st2-1
2nd3-1
3rd1-1
4th2-0
5th3-0
Expected Goals (xG)
Floreat Athena
2.83
Gwelup Croatia
1.24
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5-11.1%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Home + BTTS (+2.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=62.0%