A. Astorga vs Burgos B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Astorga face Burgos B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Astorga a 66% chance, the draw 19% and Burgos B 15%, so A. Astorga are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for A. Astorga and 1.0 for Burgos B (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Astorga are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 0.73 for Burgos B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +21.4%. This match finished 0-0.