Bergantinos vs UD Ourense Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

Bergantinos face UD Ourense in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bergantinos a 44% chance, the draw 31% and UD Ourense 25%, so Bergantinos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bergantinos and 0.8 for UD Ourense (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bergantinos are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.25 for UD Ourense. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.5%. This match finished 1-3.