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Burgos B vs Salamanca CF Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 33 Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares· Burgos Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00
Burgos B logo Burgos B PPG 1.31
2-1 HIT CS5
Salamanca CF logo Salamanca CF PPG 1.31
Home· +70.4% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Burgos B face Salamanca CF in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Burgos B a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Salamanca CF 33%, so Burgos B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Burgos B and 1.3 for Salamanca CF (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Burgos B are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.31 for Salamanca CF. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +70.4%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.5%
Odds: 4.80 EV: +70.4%
Draw 32.1%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +28.4%
Away 32.5%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -50.3%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 25.3% Odds: —
BTTS 57.8% Odds: 1.95 +12.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Burgos B
1.22
Salamanca CF
1.34

Model Suggestion

BTTS +12.7% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Home(+70.4%)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.31), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

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