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Gimnastica vs Real Oviedo B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Group 1 - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 10:00

Gimnastica

PPG 1.88 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Real Oviedo B

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-112.4%0-26.0%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.0%1-113.5%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.6%2-17.3%2-23.5%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.7%3-12.6%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.8% 52.6% 1.90 -28.2%

Draw 32.7% 31.3% 3.20 +4.6%

Away win 29.5% 27.8% 3.60 +6.2%

Over 2.5 44.4% 52.6% 1.90 -15.6%

Over 3.5 15.2% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -8.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.5%

D 33% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.9%

#3 1–0✓ 14.0%

#4 0–1 12.4%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gimnastica1.1

Real Oviedo B1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 15.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GIMNASTICA · PPG 1.88

REAL OVIEDO B · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.88), Away GOOD (1.88)

Win probability 1X2

Gimnastica (H) 37.8%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -28.2%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +4.6%

Real Oviedo B (A) 29.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gimnastica face Real Oviedo B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gimnastica a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Real Oviedo B 30%, so Gimnastica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Gimnastica and 1.0 for Real Oviedo B (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gimnastica are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.88 for Real Oviedo B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.2%. This match finished 1-0.

Gimnastica vs Real Oviedo B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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