Real Avila vs Gimnastica Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 32 Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez· Ávila Sunday, April 19, 2026 15:00

Real Avila PPG 1.53

2-1 HIT CS3

Gimnastica PPG 1.20

Home· -5.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Avila face Gimnastica in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Avila a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Gimnastica 26%, so Real Avila are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Real Avila and 1.0 for Gimnastica (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Avila are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.20 for Gimnastica. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.5%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -5.4%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -20.0%

Away 25.7%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -10.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.6% Odds: 2.00 -6.8%

Over 3.5 25.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 50.0% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✔

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Avila

1.51

Gimnastica

1.03

Model SuggestionBTTS  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5/Under 46%

BTTS/No 36%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.6%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)