Al Bidda vs Al Muaidar Prediction— Iraq - Iraqi League

Iraq - Iraqi League Regular Season - 29 Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Al Bidda PPG 0.50

3-0 MISS

Al Muaidar PPG 1.40

Away· +223.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Bidda face Al Muaidar in Iraq - Iraqi League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Bidda a 14% chance, the draw 19% and Al Muaidar 67%, so Al Muaidar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Al Bidda and 2.2 for Al Muaidar (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Bidda are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.40 for Al Muaidar. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +223.5%. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.6%

Odds: 1.67 EV: -77.3%

Draw 19.0%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -37.3%

Away 67.4%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +223.5%

Model lean: Away

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.3% Odds: 2.30 +34.1%

Over 3.5 35.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 51.0% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 0-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Bidda

0.86

Al Muaidar

2.17

Model SuggestionAway +223.5% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs Home POOR (0.50)