A. Quilmes vs Ituzaingo Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Regular Season - 18 Barranca Quilmena stadium· Quilmes Monday, June 1, 2026 18:30

A. Quilmes PPG 1.11

2-0 HIT CS3

Ituzaingo PPG 0.13

Over2.5· +1.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.3%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -9.5%

Draw 27.1%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -7.2%

Away 20.6%

Odds: 4.75 EV: -1.3%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.2% Odds: 2.35 +1.5%

Over 3.5 22.5% Odds: 4.33 -1.5%

BTTS 47.2% Odds: 2.10 -0.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✔

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Quilmes

1.45

Ituzaingo

0.62

Model SuggestionHome -9.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -9.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+1.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.11) vs P(Home)=52.3%