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Ecuador - Liga Pro logo Ecuador flag Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 16 Estadio George Capwell· Guayaquil Sunday, May 31, 2026 23:10
Emelec logo Emelec PPG 1.75
1-0 HIT CS5
U. Catolica logo U. Catolica PPG 1.29
Over3.5· +3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.5%
Odds: 2.76 EV: -10.3%
Draw 30.5%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +0.7%
Away 37.0%
Odds: 2.48 EV: -8.2%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.10 -3.0%
Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 3.80 +3.2%
BTTS 47.2% Odds: 1.80 -15.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 0-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Emelec
0.93
U. Catolica
1.23

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 52%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 1.8%
Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

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