Today / Los Chankas vs Cajamarca

Los Chankas vs Cajamarca Prediction

Sunday, May 31, 2026

Los Chankas
PPG 2.63 · HOME
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Cajamarca
PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.63) vs P(Home)=52.4%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-16.4%0-22.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.2%1-111.2%1-25.1%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.6%2-19.7%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.2%3-15.7%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-13.6%4+-21.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.4%
Draw 24.5%
Away win 23.1%
Over 2.5 48.6%
Over 3.5 28.4%
BTTS 51.7%
Home O1.5 52.0%
Away O1.5 23.3%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.7%

H 52% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%
#2 2–0 10.6%
#3 1–0 12.2%
#4 2–1 9.7%
#5 0–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Los Chankas1.7
Cajamarca0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

LOS CHANKAS · PPG 2.63

CAJAMARCA · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.63) vs P(Home)=52.4%

Win probability 1X2

Los Chankas (H) 52.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Cajamarca (A) 23.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Los Chankas face Cajamarca on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Los Chankas a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Cajamarca 23%, so Los Chankas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Los Chankas and 0.9 for Cajamarca (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Los Chankas are averaging 2.63 points per game versus 0.88 for Cajamarca. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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