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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 17 Sydney United Sports Centre· Sydney Sunday, May 31, 2026 04:30
Sydney Utd logo Sydney Utd PPG 2.44
0-1 MISS
Sutherland S. logo Sutherland S. PPG 1.00
Away· +6.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.0%
Odds: 1.55 EV: -17.8%
Draw 24.7%
Odds: 3.95 EV: -1.5%
Away 22.3%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +6.9%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.0% Odds: 1.73 -15.2%
Over 3.5 28.8% Odds: 2.85 -10.8%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.75 -9.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Sydney Utd
1.76
Sutherland S.
0.80

Model Suggestion

Home -17.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -17.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+6.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=53.0%

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