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Australia - New South Wales NPL
Regular Season - 17
Sydney United Sports Centre· Sydney
Sunday, May 31, 2026
04:30
Sydney Utd
PPG 2.44
0-1
MISS
Sutherland S.
PPG 1.00
Away· +6.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
53.0%
Odds: 1.55
EV: -17.8%
Draw
24.7%
Odds: 3.95
EV: -1.5%
Away
22.3%
Odds: 5.00
EV: +6.9%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
49.0%
Odds: 1.73
-15.2%
Over 3.5
28.8%
Odds: 2.85
-10.8%
BTTS
51.6%
Odds: 1.75
-9.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sydney Utd
1.76
Sutherland S.
0.80
Model Suggestion
Home
-17.8%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -17.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+6.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=53.0%