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Australia - Victoria NPL 2 logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 15 Sunday, May 31, 2026 04:00
Western Utd B logo Western Utd B PPG 1.71
1-2 HIT MostLikelyScore
Northcote City logo Northcote City PPG 1.86
Home· +2.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.5%
Odds: 3.90 EV: +2.0%
Draw 20.9%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -12.3%
Away 52.6%
Odds: 1.65 EV: -13.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.8% Odds: 1.40 -7.9%
Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 1.94 -16.4%
BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.40 -11.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-3
4th 2-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Western Utd B
1.44
Northcote City
2.34

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+2.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -40.0%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away GOOD (1.86)

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