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Vitebsk vs Baranovichi Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 11:00

Vitebsk

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

Baranovichi

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.4%0-18.4%0-22.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.5%1-111.1%1-23.0%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.6%2-17.4%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.0%3-13.3%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-11.4%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 36.5% — — —

Over 3.5 22.5% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 10.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -16.9%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob45.5%

H 49% / xG 1.3-0.5 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.5%

#2 0–0 15.4%

#3 2–0 13.6%

#4 1–1 11.1%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vitebsk1.3

Baranovichi0.5

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VITEBSK · PPG 2.00

BARANOVICHI · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=49.3%

Win probability 1X2

Vitebsk (H) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Baranovichi (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vitebsk face Baranovichi in Belarus - Premier League on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitebsk a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Baranovichi 23%, so Vitebsk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Vitebsk and 0.5 for Baranovichi (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitebsk are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.80 for Baranovichi. This match finished 2-3.

Vitebsk vs Baranovichi Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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