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Australia - South Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 12 Kilburn Sportsplex· Adelaide Sunday, May 31, 2026 07:15
West Adelaide logo West Adelaide PPG 1.20
1-2 HIT CS2
Adelaide City logo Adelaide City PPG 1.33
Home· +38.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.7%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +38.2%
Draw 22.9%
Odds: 3.85 EV: -7.1%
Away 43.4%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -29.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.50 -3.9%
Over 3.5 42.5% Odds: 2.15 -8.6%
BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.50 -4.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-2
4th 2-1
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

West Adelaide
1.51
Adelaide City
2.02

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+38.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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