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Australia - Victoria NPL
Regular Season - 15
Churchill Reserve
Sunday, May 31, 2026
07:00
St. Albans
PPG 1.17
0-1
HIT CS3
Preston Lions
PPG 1.86
Away + Over 2.5· -3.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
20.9%
Odds: 3.85
EV: -11.7%
Draw
24.6%
Odds: 3.70
EV: -5.4%
Away
54.5%
Odds: 1.75
EV: -4.6%
Model lean:
Away
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
51.2%
Odds: 1.62
-17.1%
Over 3.5
30.6%
Odds: 2.50
-23.5%
BTTS
51.6%
Odds: 1.55
-20.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-2
✘
3rd
0-1
✔
4th
1-2
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Albans
0.86
Preston Lions
1.85
Model Suggestion
Away
-4.6%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Away, but EV is -4.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home AVERAGE (1.17)