Today / Temperley vs SM San Juan

Temperley vs SM San Juan Prediction

Sunday, May 31, 2026

Temperley
PPG 1.60 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
SM San Juan
PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.8%0-116.4%0-27.1%0-32.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.0%1-113.1%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-06.0%2-15.2%2-22.3%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.6%3-11.4%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 28.4%
Draw 35.0%
Away win 36.6%
Over 2.5 34.0%
Over 3.5 18.6%
BTTS 45.5%
Home O1.5 19.0%
Away O1.5 21.7%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob45.5%

D 35% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.8%
#2 1–1 13.1%
#3 0–1 16.4%
#4 1–0 15.0%
#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Temperley0.8
SM San Juan0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TEMPERLEY · PPG 1.60

SM SAN JUAN · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Temperley (H) 28.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 35.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
SM San Juan (A) 36.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Temperley face SM San Juan on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Temperley a 28% chance, the draw 35% and SM San Juan 37%, so SM San Juan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Temperley and 0.9 for SM San Juan (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Temperley are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.14 for SM San Juan. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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