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V. San Carlos vs Excursionistas Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 18 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 18:30

V. San Carlos

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Excursionistas

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.7%0-117.5%0-210.4%0-34.1%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.7%1-112.7%1-27.6%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-03.9%2-14.6%2-22.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.9%3-11.1%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.2% 30.3% 3.30 -16.0%

Draw 30.9% 33.3% 3.00 -7.3%

Away win 46.9% 45.5% 2.20 +3.2%

Over 2.5 43.2% 38.5% 2.60 +12.3%

Over 3.5 22.5% 22.2% 4.50 +0.8%

BTTS 47.2% 47.6% 2.10 -0.9%

Home O1.5 16.6% 27.8% 3.60 -24.1%

Away O1.5 33.3% 38.5% 2.60 -13.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 173 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 68%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.2%

A 47% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.7%

#2 0–1 17.5%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–2✓ 10.4%

#5 1–0 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

V. San Carlos0.7

Excursionistas1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

V. SAN CARLOS · PPG 1.00

EXCURSIONISTAS · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

47%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

V. San Carlos (H) 22.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -16.0%

Draw 30.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -7.3%

Excursionistas (A) 46.9%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +3.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

V. San Carlos face Excursionistas in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives V. San Carlos a 22% chance, the draw 31% and Excursionistas 47%, so Excursionistas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for V. San Carlos and 1.2 for Excursionistas (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, V. San Carlos are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.67 for Excursionistas. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.3%. This match finished 0-2.

V. San Carlos vs Excursionistas Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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