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Defensores U. vs Flandria Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 18:30

Defensores U.

PPG 1.78 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Flandria

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.3%0-111.9%0-23.5%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.5%1-112.0%1-23.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.3%2-16.1%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.5%3-12.0%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.1% 40.8% 2.45 +5.6%

Draw 33.9% 35.7% 2.80 -5.1%

Away win 23.0% 33.3% 3.00 -18.6%

Over 2.5 32.7% 33.9% 2.95 -3.5%

Over 3.5 18.4% 15.4% 6.50 +11.8%

BTTS 44.4% 44.4% 2.25 -0.1%

Home O1.5 26.7% 32.3% 3.10 -10.3%

Away O1.5 11.7% 27.4% 3.65 -34.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.4%

H 43% / xG 1.0-0.6 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.3%

#2 1–0✓ 20.5%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 0–1 11.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Defensores U.1.0

Flandria0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.7% · O3.5 PROB 18.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DEFENSORES U. · PPG 1.78

FLANDRIA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Defensores U. (H) 43.1%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +5.6%

Draw 33.9%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -5.1%

Flandria (A) 23.0%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -18.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Defensores U. face Flandria in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Defensores U. a 43% chance, the draw 34% and Flandria 23%, so Defensores U. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Defensores U. and 0.6 for Flandria (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Defensores U. are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.00 for Flandria. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +11.8%. This match finished 1-0.

Defensores U. vs Flandria Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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