Today / Red Star vs Vojvodina

Red Star vs Vojvodina Prediction

Saturday, April 18, 2026

Red Star
PPG 2.67 · HOME
4 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Vojvodina
PPG 1.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.67) > Away GOOD (1.93)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-15.4%0-22.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.8%1-110.3%1-24.9%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.4%2-19.9%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.7%3-16.4%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-14.7%4+-22.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 60.0%
Draw 21.8%
Away win 18.2%
Over 2.5 54.8%
Over 3.5 32.5%
BTTS 52.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-1
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.4%

H 60% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 10.8%
#2 2–0 10.4%
#3 1–1 10.3%
#4 2–1 9.9%
#5 3–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Red Star1.9
Vojvodina1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RED STAR · PPG 2.67

VOJVODINA · PPG 1.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.67) > Away GOOD (1.93)

Win probability 1X2

Red Star (H) 60.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Vojvodina (A) 18.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Red Star face Vojvodina on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Red Star a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Vojvodina 18%, so Red Star are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Red Star and 1.0 for Vojvodina (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Red Star are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.93 for Vojvodina. This match finished 4-1.

PredictVantage

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