Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

Novi Pazar face OFK Beograd in Serbia - Super Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Novi Pazar a 50% chance, the draw 25% and OFK Beograd 25%, so Novi Pazar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Novi Pazar and 1.1 for OFK Beograd (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Novi Pazar are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.73 for OFK Beograd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.1%. This match finished 1-5.