Today / Racing vs Cadiz

Racing vs Cadiz Prediction

Sunday, May 31, 2026

Racing

PPG 2.20 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Cadiz

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=55.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-14.6%0-22.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.7%1-19.5%1-24.7%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.9%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.0%3-16.9%3-23.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-15.8%4+-22.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.8% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 21.4% — — —

Over 2.5 60.1% — — —

Over 3.5 36.2% — — —

BTTS 55.3% — — —

Home O1.5 61.6% — — —

Away O1.5 25.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.3%

H 56% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–0 10.1%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.7%

#5 3–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing2.1

Cadiz1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING · PPG 2.20

CADIZ · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=55.8%

Win probability 1X2

Racing (H) 55.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cadiz (A) 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing face Cadiz on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Cadiz 21%, so Racing are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Racing and 1.0 for Cadiz (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.00 for Cadiz. This match finished 4-1.

Racing vs Cadiz Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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