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Liniers vs Villa Dalmine Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 15:30

Liniers

PPG 1.13 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Villa Dalmine

PPG 2.22 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.6%0-124.1%0-211.8%0-33.8%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.4%1-110.2%1-25.0%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-02.2%2-12.2%2-21.1%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.3%3-10.3%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 18.2% 26.3% 3.80 -18.5%

Draw 36.6% 35.7% 2.80 +2.5%

Away win 45.2% 47.6% 2.10 -5.1%

Over 2.5 25.8% 32.3% 3.10 -12.0%

Over 3.5 12.5% 15.4% 6.50 -11.3%

BTTS 41.8% 40.8% 2.45 +2.4%

Home O1.5 6.8% 22.2% 4.50 -41.6%

Away O1.5 25.7% 35.7% 2.80 -16.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob41.8%

A 45% / xG 0.4-1.0 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.6%

#2 0–1 24.1%

#3 0–2 11.8%

#4 1–1 10.2%

#5 1–0✓ 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Liniers0.4

Villa Dalmine1.0

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 12.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LINIERS · PPG 1.13

VILLA DALMINE · PPG 2.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.22) vs Home AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Liniers (H) 18.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -18.5%

Draw 36.6%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +2.5%

Villa Dalmine (A) 45.2%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Liniers face Villa Dalmine in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liniers a 18% chance, the draw 37% and Villa Dalmine 45%, so Villa Dalmine are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Liniers and 1.0 for Villa Dalmine (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liniers are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 2.22 for Villa Dalmine. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Liniers vs Villa Dalmine Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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