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Hungary - NB I
Regular Season - 30
Hidegkuti Nandor Stadium· Budapest
Saturday, April 18, 2026
15:00
MTK Budapest
PPG 1.40
2-1
HIT CS2
Kisvarda
PPG 1.07
Over3.5· +30.1%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
49.0%
Odds: 1.97
EV: -3.5%
Draw
22.0%
Odds: 3.15
EV: -30.7%
Away
29.0%
Odds: 3.80
EV: +10.2%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
66.0%
Odds: 1.80
+18.8%
Over 3.5
44.1%
Odds: 2.95
+30.1%
BTTS
65.7%
Odds: 1.62
+6.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✔
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
2-2
✘
5th
1-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
MTK Budapest
1.94
Kisvarda
1.46
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+18.8%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+30.1%)
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)