Today / Hungary - NB II / Csakvar vs Szeged 2011

Csakvar vs Szeged 2011 Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 15:00

Csakvar

PPG 1.38 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

UPCOMING

Szeged 2011

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWD

// Model verdict

BTTS 56% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 56.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-110.6%0-26.5%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.6%1-113.0%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.5%2-17.9%2-24.8%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.6%3-13.2%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% 31.3% 3.20 +12.3%

Draw 24.8% 30.3% 3.30 -10.9%

Away win 40.1% 51.3% 1.95 -21.8%

Over 2.5 51.5% 50.0% 2.00 +3.0%

Over 3.5 31.6% 29.2% 3.42 +8.1%

BTTS 52.9% 56.8% 1.76 -6.9%

Home O1.5 33.6% 34.6% 2.89 -2.9%

Away O1.5 36.8% 46.1% 2.17 -20.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 32.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 19%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.9%

A 40% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–1 10.6%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 0–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Csakvar1.2

Szeged 20111.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CSAKVAR · PPG 1.38

SZEGED 2011 · PPG 1.29

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

56%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.00, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Csakvar (H) 35.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +12.3%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -10.9%

Szeged 2011 (A) 40.1%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -21.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Csakvar face Szeged 2011 in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Csakvar a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Szeged 2011 40%, so Szeged 2011 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Csakvar and 1.2 for Szeged 2011 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Csakvar are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.29 for Szeged 2011. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +15.3%.

Csakvar vs Szeged 2011 Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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