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Kozarmisleny FC vs Mezokovesd-zsory Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 15:00

Kozarmisleny FC

PPG 1.37 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

UPCOMING

Mezokovesd-zsory

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.2% vs bookmaker-implied 55.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-111.2%0-27.5%0-33.3%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.6%1-112.8%1-28.6%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.5%2-17.3%2-24.9%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.1%3-12.8%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% 34.5% 2.90 -11.3%

Draw 24.5% 30.3% 3.30 -11.5%

Away win 44.8% 47.6% 2.10 -5.9%

Over 2.5 52.9% 47.6% 2.10 +11.1%

Over 3.5 31.6% 27.9% 3.58 +13.1%

BTTS 53.2% 55.9% 1.79 -4.8%

Home O1.5 31.2% 35.2% 2.84 -11.4%

Away O1.5 42.2% 42.6% 2.35 -0.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 32.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob53.2%

A 45% / xG 1.1-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–1 11.2%

#3 1–2 8.6%

#4 0–2 7.5%

#5 0–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kozarmisleny FC1.1

Mezokovesd-zsory1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KOZARMISLENY FC · PPG 1.37

MEZOKOVESD-ZSORY · PPG 1.30

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.20, combined xG 2.48 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kozarmisleny FC (H) 30.6%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -11.3%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -11.5%

Mezokovesd-zsory (A) 44.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -5.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kozarmisleny FC face Mezokovesd-zsory in Hungary - NB II on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kozarmisleny FC a 31% chance, the draw 25% and Mezokovesd-zsory 45%, so Mezokovesd-zsory are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kozarmisleny FC and 1.3 for Mezokovesd-zsory (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kozarmisleny FC are averaging 1.37 points per game versus 1.30 for Mezokovesd-zsory. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +13.1%.

Kozarmisleny FC vs Mezokovesd-zsory Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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