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Nyiregyhaza II vs Cigand SE Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Northeast · Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 09:00

Nyiregyhaza II

PPG 1.35 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

UPCOMING

Cigand SE

PPG 1.98 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 66% chance

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.7% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-17.0%0-27.0%0-34.7%0-4+3.8%1 1-04.7%1-19.4%1-29.5%1-36.4%1-4+5.1%2 2-03.1%2-16.3%2-26.4%2-34.3%2-4+3.4%3 3-01.4%3-12.8%3-22.9%3-31.9%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.9% 15.4% 6.50 +29.3%

Draw 20.6% 21.1% 4.75 -1.3%

Away win 56.5% 75.2% 1.33 -24.9%

Over 2.5 64.7% 66.7% 1.50 -2.9%

Over 3.5 44.1% 46.1% 2.17 -4.3%

BTTS 61.5% 57.5% 1.74 +7.0%

Home O1.5 39.5% 25.6% 3.90 +54.0%

Away O1.5 58.3% 75.2% 1.33 -22.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob61.5%

A 56% / xG 1.3-2.0 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.5%

#2 1–1 9.4%

#3 0–2 7.0%

#4 1–3 6.4%

#5 0–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nyiregyhaza II1.3

Cigand SE2.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.7% · O3.5 PROB 44.1%

Form & verdict PPG

NYIREGYHAZA II · PPG 1.35

CIGAND SE · PPG 1.98

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

Chance this pick lands

66%

DANGER

xG gap -0.67 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Nyiregyhaza II (H) 22.9%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +29.3%

Draw 20.6%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -1.3%

Cigand SE (A) 56.5%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -24.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nyiregyhaza II face Cigand SE in Hungary - NB III - Northeast on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nyiregyhaza II a 23% chance, the draw 21% and Cigand SE 56%, so Cigand SE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Nyiregyhaza II and 2.0 for Cigand SE (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nyiregyhaza II are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.98 for Cigand SE. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +54.0%.

Nyiregyhaza II vs Cigand SE Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Match Preview & Prediction

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