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Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 13:30

Zalaegerszegi TE

PPG 1.57 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLLL

UPCOMING

Puskas Academy

PPG 2.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 61% chance

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-18.3%0-26.3%0-33.1%0-4+1.6%1 1-07.7%1-111.6%1-28.7%1-34.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.4%2-18.0%2-26.0%2-33.0%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.5%3-13.7%3-22.8%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.8%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% 38.2% 2.62 -8.6%

Draw 23.6% 29.4% 3.40 -11.9%

Away win 41.6% 41.7% 2.40 -0.2%

Over 2.5 53.8% 59.9% 1.67 -10.2%

Over 3.5 33.5% 38.2% 2.62 -12.2%

BTTS 55.9% 63.7% 1.57 -12.2%

Home O1.5 39.7% 44.4% 2.25 -10.7%

Away O1.5 43.6% 50.0% 2.00 -12.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -12.2%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.9%

A 42% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 0–1 8.3%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zalaegerszegi TE1.4

Puskas Academy1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ZALAEGERSZEGI TE · PPG 1.57

PUSKAS ACADEMY · PPG 2.10

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

61%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zalaegerszegi TE (H) 34.9%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -8.6%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -11.9%

Puskas Academy (A) 41.6%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -0.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zalaegerszegi TE face Puskas Academy in Hungary - NB I on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zalaegerszegi TE a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Puskas Academy 42%, so Puskas Academy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.5 for Puskas Academy (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zalaegerszegi TE are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 2.10 for Puskas Academy. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +3.4%.

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Match Preview & Prediction

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