Today / Mjallby vs Djurgarden

Mjallby vs Djurgarden Prediction

Sunday, May 31, 2026

Mjallby
PPG 1.50 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Djurgarden
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-18.8%0-26.1%0-32.8%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.6%1-112.0%1-28.4%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.9%2-18.3%2-25.8%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.7%3-13.8%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.8%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 38.4%
Draw 25.2%
Away win 36.4%
Over 2.5 54.9%
Over 3.5 36.2%
BTTS 60.6%
Home O1.5 39.9%
Away O1.5 40.5%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob60.6%

A 36% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%
#2 1–2 8.4%
#3 2–1 8.3%
#4 0–0 6.3%
#5 0–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mjallby1.4
Djurgarden1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.9% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

MJALLBY · PPG 1.50

DJURGARDEN · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Mjallby (H) 38.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Djurgarden (A) 36.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mjallby face Djurgarden on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mjallby a 38% chance, the draw 25% and Djurgarden 36%, so Mjallby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Mjallby and 1.4 for Djurgarden (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mjallby are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.00 for Djurgarden.

PredictVantage

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