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Estonia - Meistriliiga logo Estonia flag Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 14 Paide linnastaadion· Paide Sunday, May 31, 2026 14:00
Paide logo Paide PPG 1.50
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Kuressaare logo Kuressaare PPG 0.50
Away· +23.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.0%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -24.4%
Draw 22.9%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -2.3%
Away 23.1%
Odds: 6.00 EV: +23.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.5% Odds: 1.62 -11.7%
Over 3.5 32.2% Odds: 2.50 -19.5%
BTTS 52.7% Odds: 1.75 -7.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Paide
1.86
Kuressaare
0.89

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -11.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+23.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=54.0%

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