Today / Vitez vs Tusla City

Vitez vs Tusla City Prediction

FBiH - 19 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 15:00

Vitez

PPG 1.56 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Tusla City

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.56), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-11.8%0-20.6%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.9%1-15.2%1-21.7%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.8%2-17.7%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.6%3-17.6%3-22.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-017.9%4+-111.7%4+-23.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 83.5% — — —

Draw 11.0% — — —

Away win 5.4% — — —

Over 2.5 70.1% — — —

Over 3.5 48.9% — — —

BTTS 45.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.7%

H 84% / xG 3.0-0.7 / O2.5 70% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.8%

#2 3–0 11.6%

#3 4–0 8.6%

#4 1–0✓ 7.9%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vitez3.0

Tusla City0.7

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.1% · O3.5 PROB 48.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VITEZ · PPG 1.56

TUSLA CITY · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.56), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Vitez (H) 83.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 11.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tusla City (A) 5.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vitez face Tusla City on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitez a 84% chance, the draw 11% and Tusla City 5%, so Vitez are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Vitez and 0.7 for Tusla City (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitez are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.33 for Tusla City. This match finished 1-0.

Vitez vs Tusla City Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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