Today / Sloboda Tuzla vs Tomislav

Sloboda Tuzla vs Tomislav Prediction

FBiH - 19 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 15:00

Sloboda Tuzla

PPG 1.78 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Tomislav

PPG 0.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.78), Away POOR (0.56) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-14.3%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.5%1-19.2%1-24.0%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.2%2-19.8%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.0%3-17.0%3-23.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-16.1%4+-22.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.3% — — —

Draw 19.5% — — —

Away win 14.3% — — —

Over 2.5 57.8% — — —

Over 3.5 35.4% — — —

BTTS 51.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.4%

H 66% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.2%

#2 1–0 10.5%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–1 9.2%

#5 3–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sloboda Tuzla2.1

Tomislav0.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.8% · O3.5 PROB 35.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOBODA TUZLA · PPG 1.78

TOMISLAV · PPG 0.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.78), Away POOR (0.56) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sloboda Tuzla (H) 66.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tomislav (A) 14.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sloboda Tuzla face Tomislav on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sloboda Tuzla a 66% chance, the draw 20% and Tomislav 14%, so Sloboda Tuzla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Sloboda Tuzla and 0.9 for Tomislav (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sloboda Tuzla are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 0.56 for Tomislav. This match finished 3-1.

Sloboda Tuzla vs Tomislav Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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