Today / Juchen-G. vs Buderich

Juchen-G. vs Buderich Prediction

Sunday, May 31, 2026

Juchen-G.
PPG 1.69 · HOME
2 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Buderich
PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-14.0%0-22.5%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.8%1-18.7%1-25.5%1-32.4%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.5%2-19.6%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.5%3-17.0%3-24.5%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-16.4%4+-24.1%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 53.7%
Draw 22.6%
Away win 23.6%
Over 2.5 64.1%
Over 3.5 40.5%
BTTS 61.0%
Home O1.5 64.5%
Away O1.5 36.5%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-4
xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.0%

H 54% / xG 2.2-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%
#2 2–1 9.6%
#3 2–0 7.5%
#4 3–1 7.0%
#5 2–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juchen-G.2.2
Buderich1.3

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

JUCHEN-G. · PPG 1.69

BUDERICH · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Juchen-G. (H) 53.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Buderich (A) 23.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juchen-G. face Buderich on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juchen-G. a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Buderich 24%, so Juchen-G. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Juchen-G. and 1.3 for Buderich (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juchen-G. are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.25 for Buderich. This match finished 2-4.

PredictVantage

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