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Slavia Mozyr vs Belshina Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Matchday 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:00

Slavia Mozyr

PPG 0.60 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDLW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Belshina

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.8%0-110.1%0-24.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.3%1-112.8%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.3%2-18.1%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.4%3-13.4%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% 69.4% 1.44 -34.5%

Draw 28.7% 25.0% 4.00 +8.9%

Away win 25.8% 18.2% 5.50 +25.1%

Over 2.5 46.2% 53.8% 1.86 -14.1%

Over 3.5 27.7% 32.8% 3.05 -9.3%

BTTS 47.2% 51.3% 1.95 -8.0%

Home O1.5 36.1% 59.5% 1.68 -39.4%

Away O1.5 18.6% 22.0% 4.55 -9.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -100.0%

Bet Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.2%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 12.8%

#2 1–1 12.8%

#3 1–0 16.3%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia Mozyr1.3

Belshina0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA MOZYR · PPG 0.60

BELSHINA · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

47%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Slavia Mozyr (H) 45.5%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -34.5%

Draw 28.7%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +8.9%

Belshina (A) 25.8%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +25.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia Mozyr face Belshina in Belarus - Premier League on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia Mozyr a 46% chance, the draw 29% and Belshina 26%, so Slavia Mozyr are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Slavia Mozyr and 0.8 for Belshina (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia Mozyr are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.00 for Belshina. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +25.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Slavia Mozyr vs Belshina Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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