Today / Motala vs VIF

Motala vs VIF Prediction

Sunday, May 31, 2026

Motala

PPG 1.75 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

VIF

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-11.9%0-21.3%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-04.3%1-15.6%1-23.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.2%2-18.2%2-25.4%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-06.0%3-17.9%3-25.2%3-32.3%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-08.9%4+-111.6%4+-27.7%4+-33.4%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.3% — — —

Draw 19.9% — — —

Away win 19.8% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 45.5% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 78.5% — — —

Away O1.5 37.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.4%

H 60% / xG 2.9-1.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 3–1 7.9%

#3 1–1 5.6%

#4 2–0✓ 6.2%

#5 3–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Motala2.9

VIF1.3

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MOTALA · PPG 1.75

VIF · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Motala (H) 60.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VIF (A) 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Motala face VIF on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Motala a 60% chance, the draw 20% and VIF 20%, so Motala are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Motala and 1.3 for VIF (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Motala are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for VIF. This match finished 2-0.

Motala vs VIF Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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