Today / P. Bystrica vs Zvolen

P. Bystrica vs Zvolen Prediction

Saturday, April 18, 2026

P. Bystrica

PPG 1.25 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Zvolen

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.25) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-19.1%0-27.2%0-33.9%0-4+2.2%1 1-07.2%1-111.5%1-29.2%1-34.9%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.6%2-17.3%2-25.8%2-33.1%2-4+1.8%3 3-01.9%3-13.1%3-22.5%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.5% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 44.9% — — —

Over 2.5 54.6% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 57.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob57.3%

A 45% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 0–1 9.1%

#4 2–1 7.3%

#5 1–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P. Bystrica1.3

Zvolen1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.6% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

P. BYSTRICA · PPG 1.25

ZVOLEN · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.25) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

P. Bystrica (H) 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zvolen (A) 44.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

P. Bystrica face Zvolen on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Bystrica a 31% chance, the draw 25% and Zvolen 45%, so Zvolen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for P. Bystrica and 1.6 for Zvolen (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Bystrica are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.67 for Zvolen. This match finished 0-2.

P. Bystrica vs Zvolen Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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