Today / L. Mikulas vs Zilina B

L. Mikulas vs Zilina B Prediction

Saturday, April 18, 2026

L. Mikulas
PPG 2.17 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Zilina B
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.7%0-21.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.7%1-15.2%1-23.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.8%2 2-05.6%2-17.8%2-25.4%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.6%3-17.8%3-25.4%3-32.5%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-08.9%4+-112.3%4+-28.5%4+-33.9%4+-4+1.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 70.2%
Draw 15.0%
Away win 14.8%
Over 2.5 81.4%
Over 3.5 63.9%
BTTS 71.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-0
xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob71.3%

H 70% / xG 3.0-1.4 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.8%
#2 2–1 7.8%
#3 4–1 5.8%
#4 3–0 5.6%
#5 2–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

L. Mikulas3.0
Zilina B1.4

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.4% · O3.5 PROB 63.9%

Form & verdict PPG

L. MIKULAS · PPG 2.17

ZILINA B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

L. Mikulas (H) 70.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 15.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Zilina B (A) 14.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

L. Mikulas face Zilina B on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives L. Mikulas a 70% chance, the draw 15% and Zilina B 15%, so L. Mikulas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for L. Mikulas and 1.4 for Zilina B (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, L. Mikulas are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.00 for Zilina B. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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